Show Your Support For Rockford Scanner!
Today will be generally dry and seasonably warm, though an isolated, brief shower or storm is possible this afternoon,
mainly in the Chicago metro area and south of I-80.
A steamy weekend is on tap which could culminate in some showers and storms by later Sunday into Monday.
Cooler and less humid weather is expected Tuesday.
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL 619 AM CDT Fri Aug 5 2022 .SHORT TERM... Issued at 301 AM CDT Fri Aug 5 2022 Through Saturday... The boundary that sagged south and west across the forecast area Thursday afternoon and evening has stalled across the far southern CWA early this morning. Around and a county or two north of the boundary, dew points have remained above 70F. Widespread low stratus has formed south the IL/Kankakee River Valley, with visibility reductions down to around two miles noted near and just north of the boundary from Pontiac to Rensselaer. Recent obs trends indicate the boundary is starting to retreat as 925 hPa winds veer S to SW per KILX VWP. With existing stratus and a few more hours of cooling combined with very weak low-level isentropic ascent on the shallow boundary should allow for continued expansion and gradual lowering of the the stratus deck. A narrow ribbon of dense fog is possible toward daybreak along and north of the boundary into the Kankakee River Valley and WSW if the stratus deck lowers far enough. Focus will then be on the gradual northward trek of the boundary today as a weak upper-low drifts SE across Illinois. Model PV guidance depicts the upper-low quite well, but a notably dry air mass in the mid-levels makes for rather difficult tracking on WV imagery. The wave appears to be centered west of the MSP metro at this time. Per guidance, the influence of this wave primarily by providing a subtle source of lift may be noticed as early as late this morning. Isolated to widely scattered showers are expected to form ahead of this wave, especially on the northward moving low- level boundary. But also like Thursday, a vast majority of the area will remain dry today. A significant warm layer around 10-12kft and notably dry air above that layer will impede more robust vertical growth of the showers. The cap is not impenetrable though, with any saturation from previous failed updrafts potentially locally eroding enough of the warm layer to allow showers to tap into a layer of 8C/km lapse rates above 12kft. This is a distinct possibility as flow is basically non- existent at under 10 knots through at least 400 hPa. Also because of the limited steering flow, any storms that form will produce local downpours. Additionally, as was observed on Thursday, weak low-level flow and decent lapse rates under the warm layer may provide enough ascent for funnels to form from the broader background environmental vorticity. Any shower activity should wane around sunset with the loss of daytime heating. The wave will also shift southeast of the CWA this evening, but stall over Indiana on Saturday. This supports maintaining slight chance PoPs across the far southeastern CWA through much of the day. Will also need to monitor for additional fog potential across the southeastern CWA tonight. Heat index values will creep back toward 100F for portions of the area on Saturday as dew points settle into the mid-70s outside of the core of the Chicago metro and temps rise to around 90F. Kluber && .LONG TERM... Issued at 301 AM CDT Fri Aug 5 2022 Saturday night through Thursday... Fairly strong shortwave trough will track from the northern High Plains Saturday night eastward near the Canadian border to the upper Great Lakes by later Sunday night, then continue east to Ontario Monday into Monday evening. Sunday will likely be another humid and very warm to hot day, though will need to watch for outflow, debris cloudiness, and/or possibly some isolated to widely scattered convection potentially limiting temp's full potential just a bit. Didn't see any reason to stray from NBM which has highs near 90, but with dewpoints well into the 70s, peak afternoon heat indices look to top out at least in the upper 90s, with 100-105 a good bet, particularly south of I-80. Shortwave trough passing to our north should allow convectively modulated front to gradually sag south into and eventually across the CWA Sunday night through Monday evening. Strongest forcing and meaningful shear both look to stay solidly north of our CWA, so not expecting an organized severe threat. The very moist air mass and resultant moderate to strong instability ahead of the boundary should support thunderstorms with very heavy rain and perhaps a localized downburst threat. The effective front is expected to become oriented parallel to the mid-upper level flow Sunday into Monday, which suggests it won't have much of a synoptically driven southward push. The most meaningful southward movement will likely be the result convection/convective outflow. Not uncommon in these sort of situations for boundary to move farther south and faster than indicated in model guidance, which could mean an end to rain chances earlier. For northern CWA better rain chances could be done perhaps as early as Monday midday and by Monday evening southern most CWA. Given the uncertainties, maintained NBM pops and shower chances Monday night into early Tuesday, but wouldn't be surprised to see these rain chances lowered or even removed in later forecasts. In typical summertime cold front fashion, the transition to cooler and less humid conditions looks to be drawn out and very gradual. Eventually, should see some very pleasant August conditions with comfortable humidity levels and seasonable temps (or even a bit below Tuesday) through Thursday. Once the rain threat pushes south with the Monday-ish timed front, we should see dry conditions through at least Thursday.
See a scene,
Snap a photo or video of the scene,
Send it to us at RockfordScanner@Gmail.com
CLICK HERE TO Show Your Support
Or you can scan this QR code with your cell phone camera!
- All parties involved are innocent, until proven guilty in a court of law.
- We can only provide information that IS provided to us.
- As you know, the local police encrypted and are not transparent.
- Some information may not be accurate.
If there are any errors please let us know so we can try to possibly correct the errors.
- DO NOT go to a scene. Avoid the area.
- Do NOT post the names of those involved in the comments.
- Several people have asked questions, and we have tried to answer as many as possible on our FAQ page.
- Sources: If the source is not listed above, then that means the source probably wanted to remain anonymous.
If you want your name credited, let us know. Otherwise we are going to keep you anonymous.
- Due to police encryption and the lack of transparency, we can not confirm any information that is posted.
If officials do release information, and we become aware of it. We will try to update the posts.
- We can only provide you the information, that has been provided to us.
- All our information is for entertainment purposes only.
- Rockford Scanner is informative entertainment.
- If something is not posted, then we are probably not aware of it. Email us at RockfordScanner@Gmail.com
- You agree that you are fully aware that our information is not confirmed and may have possible errors
and that it is for entertainment purposes only, informative entertainment purposes only.
- If there are any errors, you agree that you will contact us right away and provide us with the possible correction
Along with the source of your information. If we can not confirm your information, we will not be able to update it.
- You must read all our terms and services and the disclaimers below and agree to all of them. If not, then leave.
- You can follow us on Twitter, Youtube, Facebook.