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NWS Chicago Forecast Discussion: The main weather concerns are confined to the early portion of the period, namely Sunday night through Tuesday. During this period the weather concerns are: -Areas of fog, some possibly dense over northern IL into Sunday night. -Period of moderate to heavy rain with thunderstorms also possible. Sunday night into Monday morning. -Period of accumulating snow Monday night into Tuesday morning along with gusty northwest winds. Up to 2" of snow is possible across the Rockford area as rain transitions over to snow with the passing of the front between late Monday night to around midnight.
HYDROLOGY: Snow melt has been ongoing the past 24 to 36 hours and will continue tonight, with little snow cover likely remaining by the time of main rainfall (Sunday night/early Monday). The rainfall during that time period though could exceed one inch with an areal basin average of 0.75" presently forecast. With many frozen waterways this could create some issues. The rise in temperatures and dew points could also cause some ice break ups. It should be noted that this warm up is not as significant of a climb as seen early last week that did cause some limited ice break up jams, but will need to be monitored. Ice jams tend to be favored at bends in area rivers and at choke-points and obstructions to free water flow such as bridges
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